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Where Did You Get the Name? Those of you that know us well know that virtually all of the investing
we do is based on a method called "Relative Strength" that maintains that
it is possible to identify and track those areas, or sectors, of the
market that are stronger than others. In our strategy, we divide the
markets into nine (9) sectors and own the "strongest four (4) as long as
it is one of the strongest five (5)." When a sector drops out of the top
five, we sell it and buy the sector in the top four we don't already own.
(Now, I can see some of you covering your ears, holding your heads and
muttering, "We know, Neal, we know!" but good things bear repeating - like
the sound of my voice!!) Relative Strength Report: Here's how the sectors ranked at the end of
20061 with "1" being the strongest ranked sector: (Those we're
in are in "BLUE" 2
) Recap: The Year that Was 2006 What a year it was! In 2006 we had four major signals, the most since 2002, just before the bear market turned around.What could this mean? A market that's trending tends to keep us in the same areas; that is, not much shifting around. On the other hand, a market that is "trying to make up its mind" can be a volatile, shifting place. And that's how 2006 felt. Although some sectors came and went pretty quickly, International and Emerging Markets hung in. We found ourselves moving back from 2005's small and mid-growth holdings to value across the board. Nothing from bonds; noticeably absent since 2004. Where will we go in 2007? We'll see. As you know, we don't make forecasts or have opinions. The markets themselves show us the way. On the other hand, there are those who wonder and those who answer, so, for those of you who would like, we thought you might find Wachovia's 2007 Outlook "interesting." Relative
Strength is a form of technical analysis and based on the study of
historical price movements and past trend patterns. There is no assurance
that these movements or trends can or will be duplicated in the future,
and no guarantee that any investment strategy will be profitable. The top
ten sectors have been prepared without regard to any particular investor's
investment objectives, financial situation and needs. Accordingly,
investors should not act on any recommendation (express or implied)
or information in this report without obtaining specific advice from their
financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the
primary basis for their investment decisions. The accuracy and completeness of this article are not guaranteed. The opinions expressed are those of the author(s) and are not necessarily those of Wachovia Securities or its affiliates. The material is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Neal Dietz is a Senior Vice President - Investment Officer with Dietz & Lynch Financial Strategies Group of Wachovia Securities in Newburyport, Massachusetts. For more information, please call Mr. Dietz at 877-609-8476. Wachovia Securities, LLC, member NYSE/SIPC. 1 Source: Investors’ Business Daily 2 Since we are trying to keep the disclaimers to a minimum, we won't tell you the rate of return for each of the sectors but you can find that in various places. Look at your statements and you will see we were pretty much in line at the end of the year. | |||
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